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Home › England › Premier League › Crystal Palace — Tottenham

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham 0:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L D L D L
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Tottenham
Tottenham
W W D L W Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 65% · book 1.67 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.10 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.06 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.47 – 0.88
Δ +0.59
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.67 — +9.2% better than the market.

Crystal Palace hosts Tottenham in a Premier League clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Tottenham's stronger overall profile and defensive solidity could challenge Palace's attack, which faces a tough defensive line. However, Palace's slight home momentum and better recent form hint at a competitive encounter. Expect a balanced pace with tactical discipline from both sides.

  • Tottenham's defensive resilience vs Palace's offense
  • Home form advantage for Palace
  • Moderate tempo suggests a tactical, measured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 65% Implied 60% +0.67u
+67%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CRY 3-4-2-1 · TOT 4-2-3-1
Subs used · CRY
58' Nketiah ↑ · Clyne ↓
77' Uche ↑ · Pino ↓
85' Esse ↑ · Devenny ↓
Subs used · TOT
63' Palhinha ↑ · Bergvall ↓
63' Odobert ↑ · Kolo Muani ↓
85' Dragusin ↑ · Gray ↓
85' Johnson ↑ · Kudus ↓

Statistics

CRY 0 – 1 TOT
62%
Possession (%)
38%
1.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.88
15
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
5
3
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
5
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
69%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 0 – 1
5'
▮
Kevin Danso
Yellow Card
22'
▮
Archie Gray
Yellow Card
42'
⚽
A. Gray
Assist · Richarlison · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Maxence Lacroix
Yellow Card
▮
46'
Will Hughes
Yellow Card
▮
45+3'
E. Nketiah ↓ · N. Clyne ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
63'
⇄
J. Palhinha ↓ · L. Bergvall ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
W. Odobert ↓ · R. Kolo Muani ↑
Substitution 2
C. Uche ↓ · Y. Pino ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
Jefferson Lerma
Yellow Card
▮
85'
R. Esse ↓ · J. Devenny ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
R. Dragusin ↓ · A. Gray ↑
Substitution 3
85'
⇄
B. Johnson ↓ · M. Kudus ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Tottenham won 1–0 away at Crystal Palace. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 79% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.47 to 0.88. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Gray (42').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.41 units (Brier 0.225).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.67 — 65% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 — 48% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.06 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.89 — 51% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.36 — 38% Cashed +1.36 Cashed
Home Win 2.37 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.65 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.35 — 38% Cashed +2.35 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.38 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.70 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 91% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.34 — 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 — 73% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.62 — 26% Cashed +2.62 Cashed
Draw 3.45 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.41u +2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
CRY – TOT @ 1.67
+9.2%
Edge
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