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Home World UEFA Champions League Fenerbahçe — AS Roma

Preview Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma September 10, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Thu 10 Sep · 16:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Home Win · FEN
32%
Best 3.42
Draw
26%
Best 3.56
Away Win · ROM
42%
Best 2.21

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 58% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Fenerbahçe enters this Champions League clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run. Despite limited data on Roma's current form, the home side's attacking rhythm and crowd support could pose early challenges. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight leaning towards goals, hinting at a lively tempo.

  • Fenerbahçe's recent winning streak fuels confidence.
  • Roma's unknown form adds unpredictability.
  • Odds favor a match with multiple goal opportunities.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 42% AS Roma win
Over/Under 2.5 54% Over 2.5
BTTS 58% Yes
Double Chance 68% X2
  • 1X2 AS Roma win 42%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54%
  • BTTS Yes 58%
  • Double Chance X2 68%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Fenerbahçe
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 10 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.95 / 0.86
AS Roma
W/D/L 5-0-0
Goals (for / against) 14 / 1
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 4/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 2.67 / 0.63

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.33
Goals Scored
3.33
1.33
Goals Conceded
0.33
2.39
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
8.67
Shots on Target
8.67
7.67
Corners
5.67
54.33
Possession (%)
64
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
40
OFF · home
88
DEF · home
67
OFF · away
94
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Fenerbahçe wins when scoring first
AS Roma wins when scoring first
100%
Fenerbahçe BTTS rate · last 10
60%
AS Roma BTTS rate · last 10
30%
Fenerbahçe Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
AS Roma Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Fenerbahçe comeback rate · last 10
0%
AS Roma comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Fenerbahçe · last 6 at home

0–15 8%
16–30 0%
31–45 23%
46–60 15%
61–75 23%
76–90 31%

AS Roma · last 10 away

0–15 20%
16–30 20%
31–45 10%
46–60 15%
61–75 20%
76–90 15%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

Talisca
FEN · Attacker
4 G · 0.76 g/90
M. Greenwood
FEN · Attacker
2 G · 0.50 g/90