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Home World UEFA Champions League Liverpool — Atletico Madrid

Predictions Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid September 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 L D D D W
Kick-off
Wed 09 Sep · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
L W D W L Away · last 5
Referee D. Massa
Home Win · LIV
52%
Best 1.74
Draw
23%
Best 4.22
Away Win · ATM
25%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.21
Fair odds
2.09
book 2.21 · +5.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +5.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (75%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 24.9%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.28
Show model details
Implied probability 23.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.9%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 47.9%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LIV – ATM @ 2.21
+5.8%
Edge
Forecast →