FC Thun vs Lech Poznan 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.86 — +2.3% better than the market.

FC Thun faces a tough test against Lech Poznan, who arrive with strong momentum from three straight wins. Thun’s recent form shows signs of struggle, while Lech’s attacking rhythm could exploit defensive gaps. Expect a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and goal opportunities.

Lech’s winning streak boosts confidence and pressing edge.
Thun’s home advantage may help contain early pressure.
Match likely to feature attacking intent and goal chances on both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.86 ✗ Lost

AI 36% Implied 35% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

THU 4-4-2 · LEC 4-2-3-1

THU · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · LEC

9 Dursun

Statistics

THU 2 – 2 LEC

39%

Possession (%)

61%

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Match recap

FC Thun and Lech Poznan drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.01 units (Brier 0.168).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.67	—	59%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.60	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.47	—	39%	Cashed	+1.47	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.45	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.55	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.30	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.17	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.75	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Home Win	2.86	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.57	—	61%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	63%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.06	—	24%	Cashed	+3.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	—	81%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.01u	−12% ROI

FC Thun vs Lech Poznan 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled