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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › FC Thun — Lech Poznan

Predictions by Market: FC Thun vs Lech Poznan

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
FC Thun
FC Thun
Home · last 5 W L L D
Kick-off
Thu 27 Aug · 18:00
2:2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W W D L Away · last 5
Referee Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · THU
36%
Best 2.78
Draw
24%
Best 4.08
Away Win · LEC
41%
Best 2.35
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.86
Fair odds
2.80
book 2.86 · +2.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 36% · EV +2.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (41%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.86
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.7%
Odds 4.06
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.5%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 40.6%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
THU – LEC @ 2.86
+2.3%
Edge
Forecast →