Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.82 — +12.8% better than the market.

Saburtalo hosts Jagiellonia in a UEFA Europa League clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have shown more consistency with two wins and a draw in their last three. Saburtalo’s mixed results at home suggest a tight contest, with both sides likely cautious. The odds hint at a balanced game with moderate goal expectations, suggesting a tactical battle rather than an open shootout.

Jagiellonia’s momentum and steadier form edge
Saburtalo’s home resilience could keep it close
Moderate pace expected, favoring compact defensive setups

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.82 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 26% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

SAB 4-3-3 · JAG 4-3-3

SAB · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · JAG

17 Ende

19 Sikharulashvili

10 Natchkebia

Statistics

SAB 1 – 2 JAG

64%

Possession (%)

36%

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Match recap

Jagiellonia won 2–1 away at Saburtalo. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.64 units (Brier 0.150).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.84	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.89	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	—	49%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	52%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.03	—	45%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Home Win	3.82	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.30	—	70%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.86	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.48	—	45%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	72%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.20	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	73%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.50	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.62	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.64u	−27% ROI

Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled