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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Saburtalo — Jagiellonia

Predictions by Market: Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Saburtalo
Saburtalo
Home · last 5 D W L L
Kick-off
Thu 27 Aug · 16:00
1:2
Full-time
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
W D W W L Away · last 5
Referee Simone Sozza, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SAB
30%
Best 3.47
Draw
26%
Best 3.78
Away Win · JAG
45%
Best 2.20
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.82
Fair odds
3.39
book 3.82 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +12.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (45%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 29.5%
Odds 3.82
Show model details
Implied probability 26.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 11.20
Show model details
Implied probability 8.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 29.5%
Odds 2.86
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.7%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
SAB – JAG @ 3.82
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →