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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Lech Poznan — FC Thun

Lech Poznan vs FC Thun 7:0: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Home · last 5 W W W D L
Kick-off
Thu 20 Aug · 17:00
7:0
Full-time
FC Thun
FC Thun
W L L D Away · last 5
Referee Sebastian Gishamer, Austria
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 45% · book 2.40 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.65 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.38 ✗
Total goals
7
7 · 0
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.40 — +8.1% better than the market.

Lech Poznan enters this Europa League clash with strong home momentum, having won their last two matches. Their attacking rhythm could challenge FC Thun's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. The match hints at a moderately open pace, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals, suggesting chances for both sides to find the net.

  • Home side's recent winning form adds confidence.
  • Thun's defense may struggle under Poznan's pressure.
  • Moderate tempo likely to produce goal opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.40 ✗ Lost
AI 45% Implied 42% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

LEC 7 – 0 THU
56%
Possession (%)
44%
11
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
2

Match recap

Lech Poznan beat FC Thun 7–0 at home. At half-time it was 5–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.38 units (Brier 0.156).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.40 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.65 — 59% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.38 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 — 44% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.55 — 37% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Home Win 1.61 — 55% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Away Win 5.41 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 — 77% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Draw 4.42 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.25 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 16.50 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 — 81% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.21 — 55% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.38u −26% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEC – THU @ 2.40
+8.1%
Edge
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