🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 59% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 56%, Lech Poznan to win 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Lech Poznan enters this Europa League clash with strong home momentum, having won their last two matches. Their attacking rhythm could challenge FC Thun's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. The match hints at a moderately open pace, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals, suggesting chances for both sides to find the net.
- Home side's recent winning form adds confidence.
- Thun's defense may struggle under Poznan's pressure.
- Moderate tempo likely to produce goal opportunities.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 55% | Lech Poznan win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 59% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 56% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 77% | 1X |
- 1X2 Lech Poznan win 55%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59%
- BTTS Yes 56%
- Double Chance 1X 77%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lech Poznan
W/D/L
4-0-1
Goals (for / against)
12 / 5
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.21 / 1.01
FC Thun
W/D/L
1-0-4
Goals (for / against)
9 / 16
Avg goals / match
5.0
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
xG (for / against)
0.63 / 2.23
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Lech Poznan wins when scoring first
—
①
FC Thun wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Lech Poznan BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
FC Thun BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Lech Poznan Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
FC Thun Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Lech Poznan comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
FC Thun comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Lech Poznan · last 9 at home
0–15
6%
16–30
17%
31–45
34%
46–60
17%
61–75
6%
76–90
22%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.