P
Prognosist
P
Home World UEFA Champions League Levski Sofia — AEK Athens FC

Predictions Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC August 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Tue 18 Aug · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
W D W D D Away · last 5
Referee G. Nyberg
Home Win · LEV
35%
Best 3.14
Draw
28%
Best 3.19
Away Win · AEK
37%
Best 2.54
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.03
Fair odds
2.90
book 3.03 · +4.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 34% · EV +4.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (37%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.59
Show model details
Implied probability 38.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 34.5%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.22
Show model details
Implied probability 31.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.2%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.8%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25%
Odds 3.76
Show model details
Implied probability 26.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
LEV – AEK @ 3.03
+4.4%
Edge
Forecast →