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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Levski Sofia — AEK Athens FC

Predictions by Market: Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Tue 18 Aug · 19:00
0:0
Full-time
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
D W W Away · last 5
Referee Glenn Nyberg, Sweden

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEV
35%
Best 3.58
Draw
28%
Best 3.12
Away Win · AEK
37%
Best 2.35
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.03
Fair odds
2.90
book 3.03 · +4.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 34% · EV +4.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (37%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.59
Show model details
Implied probability 38.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 34.5%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.22
Show model details
Implied probability 31.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.2%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.8%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25%
Odds 3.76
Show model details
Implied probability 26.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
LEV – AEK @ 3.03
+4.4%
Edge
Forecast →