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Home World UEFA Champions League Levski Sofia — AEK Athens FC

Preview Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC August 18, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Tue 18 Aug · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
W D W D D Away · last 5
Referee G. Nyberg
Home Win · LEV
35%
Best 3.14
Draw
28%
Best 3.19
Away Win · AEK
37%
Best 2.54

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 56% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Levski Sofia arrives with strong home momentum, boasting an unbeaten recent run that suggests confidence and sharpness. Despite limited data on AEK Athens, the odds hint at a cautious, low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals favored. Levski's pressing edge and home support could challenge AEK's defense, but the away side's resilience may keep the match tight.

  • Levski's solid form and home advantage
  • AEK's unknown but potentially compact setup
  • Market signals favor a controlled tempo and fewer goals

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 37% AEK Athens FC win
Over/Under 2.5 56% Under 2.5
BTTS 51% Yes
Double Chance 66% X2
  • 1X2 AEK Athens FC win 37%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56%
  • BTTS Yes 51%
  • Double Chance X2 66%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Levski Sofia
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 9 / 2
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 4/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
AEK Athens FC
W/D/L 2-3-0
Goals (for / against) 7 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.68 / 0.92

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.67
Goals Scored
1.78
0.50
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
1
Shots on Target
4.75
1.83
Corners
5.38
17.50
Possession (%)
57.06
Efficiency index
110.01
Adjusted index
129.41
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
60
OFF · home
100
DEF · home
67
OFF · away
87
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Levski Sofia wins when scoring first
AEK Athens FC wins when scoring first
Levski Sofia BTTS rate · last 10
20%
AEK Athens FC BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Levski Sofia Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
AEK Athens FC Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Levski Sofia comeback rate · last 10
0%
AEK Athens FC comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Levski Sofia · last 2 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%

AEK Athens FC · last 2 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 50%
61–75 50%
76–90 0%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

Reinaldo
LEV
3 G · 1.71 g/90
J. Perea
LEV · Attacker
1 G