Manchester United vs Newcastle 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.51 — +8.4% better than the market.

Manchester United arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum at Old Trafford. Their attacking prowess faces a tough Newcastle defense, but the home side's sharper offensive index suggests they can break through. Recent form favors United slightly, hinting at a controlled pace with chances for set-piece threats.

Home edge in attack-defense matchup
Stronger recent form and home confidence
Moderate tempo likely, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.51 ✓ Cashed

AI 72% Implied 66% +0.51u

+51%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MUN 4-2-3-1 · NEW 4-3-3

MUN · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · NEW

30 Šeško

Subs used · MUN

46'

Fletcher ↑ ·

Mount ↓

60'

Zirkzee ↑ ·

Sesko ↓

61'

Yoro ↑ ·

Casemiro ↓

88'

Fredricson ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

88'

Malacia ↑ ·

Shaw ↓

Subs used · NEW

68'

Joelinton ↑ ·

Ramsey ↓

68'

Wissa ↑ ·

Woltemade ↓

68'

Barnes ↑ ·

Murphy ↓

77'

Willock ↑ ·

Tonali ↓

Statistics

MUN 1 – 0 NEW

33%

Possession (%)

67%

1.17

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

13 · 1 – 0

P. Dorgu

1–0

⚽

24'

Half-time · 1 – 0

J. Fletcher ↓ · M. Mount ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

J. Zirkzee ↓ · B. Sesko ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

L. Yoro ↓ · Casemiro ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

61'

68'

⇄

Joelinton ↓ · J. Ramsey ↑

Substitution 1

68'

⇄

Y. Wissa ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑

Substitution 2

68'

⇄

H. Barnes ↓ · J. Murphy ↑

Substitution 3

Luke Shaw

Yellow Card

▮

69'

73'

▮

Sandro Tonali

Yellow Card

77'

⇄

J. Willock ↓ · S. Tonali ↑

Substitution 4

T. Fredricson ↓ · L. Martinez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

T. Malacia ↓ · L. Shaw ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

Matheus Cunha

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Manchester United beat Newcastle 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Dorgu (24').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.57 units (Brier 0.243).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.61	—	47%	Cashed	+1.61	Cashed
BTTS No	2.60	—	41%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.71	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.34	—	42%	Cashed	+1.34	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.63	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.92	—	47%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Away Win	2.76	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.03	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.51	—	72%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	63%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.56	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.21	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.00	—	19%	Cashed	+4.00	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	16.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.57u	+9% ROI

Manchester United vs Newcastle 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled