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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Red Bull Salzburg — Sturm Graz

Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
Home · last 5 W W D W D
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 15:00
3:0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
D L W L W Away · last 5
Red Bull Arena · Salzburg Referee Isa Simsek
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 63% · book 1.67 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 49% · book 2.01 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 35% · book 2.63 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.67 — +5.2% better than the market.

Red Bull Salzburg enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack against a less resilient Sturm Graz defense. Their recent form shows consistent wins, while Sturm Graz, despite some good results, struggles to match Salzburg's intensity. Expect Salzburg to leverage their pressing edge and create multiple chances in a match likely to see goals given the attacking dynamics and favorable pace hinted by the odds.

  • Home side's offensive firepower vs away defensive gaps
  • Superior recent form and home comfort
  • Potential for an open, attacking game with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 60% +0.67u
+67%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAL 3 – 0 STU
55%
Possession (%)
45%
15
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
7
10
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Red Bull Salzburg beat Sturm Graz 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.33 units (Brier 0.171).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.67 — 63% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.01 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.63 — 35% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.77 — 51% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.20 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.20 — 84% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.40 — 69% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.88 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.33 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.45 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.33u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
SAL – STU @ 1.67
+5.2%
Edge
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