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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Piast Gliwice — Pogon Szczecin

Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Home · last 5 D W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 10:15
1:2
Full-time
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
D D D W W Away · last 5
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach · Gliwice Referee Daniel Stefanski
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 49% · book 2.40 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.34 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.12 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
68% – 32%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.34 — +12.7% better than the market.

Piast Gliwice holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a mild home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo. Their offensive strength matches well against Pogon's less resilient defense, while Pogon's solid defensive record may limit scoring chances. Recent form favors Piast slightly, indicating home momentum could be decisive in a tight contest.

  • Home side's attacking edge vs away defense
  • Moderate home advantage in play
  • Balanced recent form with slight home momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.34 ✗ Lost
AI 48% Implied 43% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

PIA 1 – 2 POG
68%
Possession (%)
32%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Pogon Szczecin won 2–1 away at Piast Gliwice. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.87 units (Brier 0.252).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.40 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.34 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.12 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 52% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.73 — 47% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Away Win 2.80 — 27% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.41 — 73% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.57 — 51% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Draw 3.70 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.87u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
PIA – POG @ 2.34
+12.7%
Edge
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