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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Piast Gliwice — Widzew Łódź

Prediction: Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź, October 11

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Home · last 5 D W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 12:45
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
D L D D D Away · last 5
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach · Gliwice Referee Jaroslaw Przybyl

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PIA
44%
Best 2.63
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · WID
31%
Best 2.45

Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 56% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 44% Piast Gliwice win
BTTS 56% Yes
Double Chance 69% 1X
  • 1X2 Piast Gliwice win 44%
  • BTTS Yes 56%
  • Double Chance 1X 69%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Piast Gliwice
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.34 / 0.99
Widzew Łódź
W/D/L 0-4-1
Goals (for / against) 8 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.05 / 1.86

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.78
Goals Scored
1.44
1.67
Goals Conceded
1.44
0.82
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
4.11
Shots on Target
3.78
4
Corners
4.11
51
Possession (%)
42.22
112.37
Efficiency index
102.95
114.84
Adjusted index
98.23
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
72
OFF · home
17
11
DEF · home
44
44
OFF · away
39
72
DEF · away
61
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Piast Gliwice wins when scoring first
—
①
Widzew Łódź wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Piast Gliwice BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Widzew Łódź BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Piast Gliwice Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Widzew Łódź Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Piast Gliwice comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Widzew Łódź comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Piast Gliwice · last 4 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 20%
46–60 40%
61–75 0%
76–90 40%

Widzew Łódź · last 4 away

0–15 0%
16–30 40%
31–45 0%
46–60 60%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

Leandro Sanca
PIA · Midfielder
4 G · 0.68 g/90
Hugo Vallejo
PIA · Attacker
3 G · 0.38 g/90
M. Fornalczyk
WID · Midfielder
2 G · 0.33 g/90
S. Bergier
WID · Attacker
2 G · 0.49 g/90