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Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 15:30
2:1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W L W W Away · last 5
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla · Zabrze
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 36% · book 2.75 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 38% · book 2.42 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 38% · book 2.40 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.75 — +0.3% better than the market.

Gornik Zabrze hosts Lech Poznan in a clash where home momentum meets away resilience. Gornik's solid recent form contrasts with Lech's unbeaten streak, suggesting a tactical battle. The home side's slightly better points per game hints at a pressing edge, but Lech's higher expected goals indicate attacking threat. Expect a balanced contest with chances on both ends and a moderate tempo.

  • Gornik's home confidence vs Lech's unbeaten run
  • Lech's superior attacking potential
  • Moderate pace likely to favor tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.75 ✓ Cashed
AI 36% Implied 36% +1.75u
+175%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GOR 2 – 1 LEC
51%
Possession (%)
49%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
7
9
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
4
4
Offsides
3
19
Fouls
14
5
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Gornik Zabrze beat Lech Poznan 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.15 units (Brier 0.207).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.75 — 36% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
BTTS No 2.42 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.40 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.57 — 62% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.44 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 — 62% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 3 W · 4 L −1.15u −16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
GOR – LEC @ 2.75
+0.3%
Edge
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