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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Gornik Zabrze — Lech Poznan

Predictions by Market: Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 15:30
2:1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W L W W Away · last 5
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla · Zabrze

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GOR
37%
Best 2.86
Draw
25%
Best 3.70
Away Win · LEC
38%
Best 2.31
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.75
Fair odds
2.74
book 2.75 · +0.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 36% · EV +0.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (38%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 36.5%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
GOR – LEC @ 2.75
+0.3%
Edge
Forecast →