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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Zaglebie Lubin — Pogon Szczecin

Preview Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
Home · last 5 W L W D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
L W W D Away · last 5
Home Win · ZAG
41%
Best 2.50
Draw
26%
Best 3.42
Away Win · POG
33%
Best 2.63

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 55% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Zaglebie Lubin shows stronger recent form and home momentum against Pogon Szczecin, who have struggled to maintain consistency away. The home side's slightly better attacking potential and stable defense could exploit Pogon's vulnerabilities, especially given their lower points per game. Expect a tactical battle with Zaglebie leveraging their home edge and pressing intensity.

  • Home momentum and form advantage
  • Better attacking threat at home
  • Compact defensive setup to counter Pogon

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 41% Zaglebie Lubin win
BTTS 55% Yes
Double Chance 67% 1X
  • 1X2 Zaglebie Lubin win 41%
  • BTTS Yes 55%
  • Double Chance 1X 67%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Zaglebie Lubin
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.41 / 1.32
Pogon Szczecin
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 8 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.32 / 1.38

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.25
Goals Scored
1.75
1
Goals Conceded
1
1.14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
1.50
Shots on Target
5.50
2.25
Corners
3.25
28.25
Possession (%)
41.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
39
OFF · home
44
83
DEF · home
28
28
OFF · away
22
67
DEF · away
78
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Zaglebie Lubin wins when scoring first
Pogon Szczecin wins when scoring first
Zaglebie Lubin BTTS rate · last 10
30%
Pogon Szczecin BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Zaglebie Lubin Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Pogon Szczecin Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Zaglebie Lubin comeback rate · last 10
33%
Pogon Szczecin comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Zaglebie Lubin · last 5 at home

0–15 33%
16–30 0%
31–45 20%
46–60 0%
61–75 20%
76–90 27%

Pogon Szczecin · last 6 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 39%
46–60 20%
61–75 20%
76–90 20%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

J. Sypek
ZAG · Midfielder
1 G
M. Reguła
ZAG · Attacker
1 G
P. Mukairu
POG · Midfielder
1 G · 0.35 g/90
K. Acosta
POG · Midfielder
1 G · 0.42 g/90