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Home Turkey Süper Lig Alanyaspor — Beşiktaş

Match Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor
Home · last 5 D W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 18:30
1:0
Full-time
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
W L Away · last 5
Referee Adnan Deniz Kayatepe, Türkiye
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.09
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 54% · book 1.91
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.15
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.41 – 0.70
Δ −0.29
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.90 — +10.1% better than the market.

Alanyaspor hosts Beşiktaş in a Süper Lig clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who come off a win while the hosts drew their last match. The home side may leverage their familiar ground, but Beşiktaş’s momentum and higher points per game hint at a pressing edge. Expect a balanced tempo with a moderate goal environment, as odds suggest a tight contest with under 2.5 goals likely.

  • Beşiktaş’s recent winning form contrasts with Alanyaspor’s draw.
  • Home advantage could help Alanyaspor maintain a compact block.
  • Moderate pace and goal expectation favor a tactical, cautious game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.90 ✓ Cashed
AI 28% Implied 26% +2.90u
+290%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

ALA 10 BES
35%
Possession (%)
65%
0.41
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.70
9
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
6
1
Shots off Target
4
7
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
14
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Alanyaspor beat Beşiktaş 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.45 units (Brier 0.253).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.09 50% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.91 54% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS No 2.15 46% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Away Win 1.98 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.81 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.90 28% Cashed +2.90 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 71% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.28 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.72 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L +0.45u +4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
ALA – BES @ 3.90
+10.1%
Edge
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