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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League OH Leuven — Standard Liege

Preview OH Leuven vs Standard Liege August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
OH Leuven
OH Leuven
Home · last 5 L L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
D D W Away · last 5
Referee K. van Damme
Home Win · LEU
33%
Best 2.91
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · STA
41%
Best 2.40

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams not to score — 51% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

OH Leuven faces a tough challenge against Standard Liege, who show better recent form and higher expected goal output. Leuven's slow start and lack of points suggest they may struggle to impose themselves, while Standard's more consistent performances hint at a pressing edge. The match could lean towards a cautious tempo given balanced odds on goals, with both sides likely to prioritize defensive solidity.

  • Standard's recent momentum and goal threat stand out.
  • Leuven's home advantage is limited by poor form.
  • Expect a compact, tactical battle with moderate scoring.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 41% Standard Liege win
Over/Under 2.5 50% Under 2.5
BTTS 51% No
Double Chance 67% X2
  • 1X2 Standard Liege win 41%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50%
  • BTTS No 51%
  • Double Chance X2 67%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
OH Leuven
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 5 / 9
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.10 / 1.82
Standard Liege
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.68 / 1.70

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.50
Goals Scored
2.33
3
Goals Conceded
1.67
0.80
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
1.50
Shots on Target
5.33
1
Corners
4.67
20.50
Possession (%)
56
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
0
OFF · home
56
11
DEF · home
44
56
OFF · away
72
17
DEF · away
22
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

OH Leuven wins when scoring first
Standard Liege wins when scoring first
OH Leuven BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Standard Liege BTTS rate · last 10
60%
OH Leuven Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Standard Liege Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
OH Leuven comeback rate · last 10
0%
Standard Liege comeback rate · last 10
100%

🔥 Goal timing

OH Leuven · last 5 at home

0–15 40%
16–30 0%
31–45 20%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 40%

Standard Liege · last 4 away

0–15 25%
16–30 25%
31–45 50%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

Óscar Gil
LEU · Midfielder
1 G
D. Eckert Ayensa
STA · Attacker
2 G · 0.81 g/90
A. Abid
STA · Midfielder
2 G · 0.67 g/90