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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › OH Leuven — Standard Liege

OH Leuven vs Standard Liege 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
OH Leuven
OH Leuven
Home · last 5 L L L D W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
W W W L L Away · last 5
Referee K. van Damme
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.11 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 1.95 ✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 41% · book 2.36 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.90 – 1.36
Δ +0.54
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.11 — +7.5% better than the market.

OH Leuven faces a tough challenge against Standard Liege, who show better recent form and higher expected goal output. Leuven's slow start and lack of points suggest they may struggle to impose themselves, while Standard's more consistent performances hint at a pressing edge. The match could lean towards a cautious tempo given balanced odds on goals, with both sides likely to prioritize defensive solidity.

  • Standard's recent momentum and goal threat stand out.
  • Leuven's home advantage is limited by poor form.
  • Expect a compact, tactical battle with moderate scoring.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.11 ✗ Lost
AI 51% Implied 47% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

LEU 1 – 2 STA
63%
Possession (%)
37%
1.90
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.36
22
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
2
16
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
5
7
Fouls
8
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
68%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Standard Liege won 2–1 away at OH Leuven. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.90 to 1.36. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 5, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.69 units (Brier 0.222).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.11 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.95 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.36 — 41% Cashed +1.36 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.88 — 50% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 49% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 67% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.59 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.97 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 5 L −1.69u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
LEU – STA @ 2.11
+7.5%
Edge
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