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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Zaglebie Lubin — Lech Poznan

Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
Home · last 5 L D W L L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 13:45
0:1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W D W D Away · last 5
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin · Lubin Referee D. Stefanski
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.54 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.23 ✓
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 59% · book 1.80 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.49 – 1.69
Δ −1.20
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.23 — +13.6% better than the market.

Zaglebie Lubin arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid form and a slight quality edge over Lech Poznan. Their defensive resilience combined with home comfort could stifle Lech's attacking attempts, despite the visitors' sharper offensive numbers. The match hints at a balanced pace with moderate goal expectations, favoring a tight contest.

  • Home side's recent consistency and higher points per game
  • Lech's offensive threat challenged by Lubin's compact defense
  • Moderate tempo suggesting a tactical, cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.23 ✓ Cashed
AI 51% Implied 45% +1.23u
+123%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ZAG 0 – 1 LEC
37%
Possession (%)
63%
0.49
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.69
14
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
14
67%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Lech Poznan won 1–0 away at Zaglebie Lubin. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.69 to 0.49. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.21 units (Brier 0.221).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.54 — 46% Cashed +1.54 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.23 — 51% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.80 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.05 — 41% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.70 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.63 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 — 71% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Home Win 4.00 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.60 — 27% Cashed +3.60 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.85 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.32 — 67% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.10 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.50 — 41% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.23 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.21u −1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ZAG – LEC @ 2.23
+13.6%
Edge
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