Match Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin March 8, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.11 — +9.4% better than the market.

Raków Częstochowa holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a mild home advantage, suggesting a controlled game pace. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Pogon's sharper attack, setting up a tactical battle where Raków's compact block could stifle chances. Recent form favors Pogon, but Raków's home momentum and previous clean sheet against this opponent hint at a tight contest.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive threat
Moderate home edge shaping tempo
Form trends suggest balanced intensity

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.11 ✓ Cashed

AI 52% Implied 47% +1.11u

+111%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RAK 3-1-4-2 · POG 4-2-3-1

RAK · 3-1-4-2 4-2-3-1 · POG

18 Brunes

📊 Statistics

RAK 2 – 0 POG

64%

Possession (%)

36%

2.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Raków Częstochowa beat Pogon Szczecin 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.15 to 0.22. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 5, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.57 units (Brier 0.120).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.11	—	52%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	49%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Home Win	1.81	—	56%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.10	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.72	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.74	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	73%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.03	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	80%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.87	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Away Win	4.75	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.91	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	—	72%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	56%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.30	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.57u	−27% ROI

Match Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.11 — +9.4% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled