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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa — Pogon Szczecin

Predictions Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin March 8, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 16:30
2:0
Full-time
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
D W L W D Away · last 5
Referee Jaroslaw Przybyl, Poland
Home Win · RAK
56%
Best 1.75
Draw
24%
Best 3.80
Away Win · POG
20%
Best 4.21
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.03
Fair odds
3.60
book 4.03 · +11.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +11.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20.1%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.91
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.9%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 4.03
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 2.87
Show model details
Implied probability 34.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 49.1%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 20.1%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
RAK – POG @ 4.03
+11.9%
Edge
Forecast →