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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › GO Ahead Eagles — Groningen

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Home · last 5 L D D D D
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 16:45
1:1
Full-time
Groningen
Groningen
L L D D W Away · last 5
De Adelaarshorst · Deventer Referee D. Higler
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 52% · book 2.22 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 58% · book 1.62 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 42% · book 2.34 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.48 — +5.9% better than the market.

GO Ahead Eagles show stronger recent form and home momentum, which could be key at De Adelaarshorst. Despite Groningen's slightly higher expected goals, the home side's resilience and tactical discipline may keep the match competitive. The pace hints at an open game with chances for both, supported by a history of tight encounters.

  • Home form edge and solid defense
  • Groningen's attacking threat balanced by home resilience
  • Potential for goals given attacking tendencies

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.48 ✗ Lost
AI 72% Implied 68% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

EAG 1 – 1 GRO
61%
Possession (%)
39%
24
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Target
2
12
Shots off Target
2
18
Shots Inside Box
2
9
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 4, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.69 units (Brier 0.263).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.22 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.62 — 58% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Home Win 2.34 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.69 — 48% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
BTTS No 2.73 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.60 — 28% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.48 — 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 66% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 71% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Away Win 2.83 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.90 — 24% Cashed +2.90 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +1.69u +15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
EAG – GRO @ 1.48
+5.9%
Edge
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