🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 67% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 65%, Ajax to win 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Ajax enters this clash with a clear edge in form and quality, showing more consistent performances recently. Despite Telstar's home momentum from a recent win, Ajax's superior attacking threat and experience in high-tempo Eredivisie matches suggest they will control the game. Expect Ajax to leverage their pressing and tactical discipline to break down Telstar's defense.
- Ajax's better recent form and higher scoring potential
- Telstar's home confidence but limited firepower
- Likely open game with chances on both ends
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 55% | Ajax win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 67% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 65% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 77% | X2 |
- 1X2 Ajax win 55%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67%
- BTTS Yes 65%
- Double Chance X2 77%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Telstar
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
9 / 6
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.37 / 1.77
Ajax
W/D/L
2-3-0
Goals (for / against)
6 / 2
Avg goals / match
1.6
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
4/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.74 / 0.94
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Telstar wins when scoring first
—
①
Ajax wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Telstar BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Ajax BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Telstar Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Ajax Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Telstar comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Ajax comeback rate · last 10
—
🔥 Goal timing
Telstar · last 4 at home
0–15
14%
16–30
0%
31–45
57%
46–60
0%
61–75
14%
76–90
14%
Ajax · last 4 away
0–15
20%
16–30
0%
31–45
40%
46–60
0%
61–75
20%
76–90
20%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.
