Telstar vs Ajax 0:4 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 4.88 — +14.4% better than the market.

Ajax enters this clash with a clear edge in form and quality, showing more consistent performances recently. Despite Telstar's home momentum from a recent win, Ajax's superior attacking threat and experience in high-tempo Eredivisie matches suggest they will control the game. Expect Ajax to leverage their pressing and tactical discipline to break down Telstar's defense.

Ajax's better recent form and higher scoring potential
Telstar's home confidence but limited firepower
Likely open game with chances on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 4.88 ✗ Lost

AI 23% Implied 20% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

STO 3-4-2-1 · AJA 4-3-3

STO · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · AJA

9 Seedorf

Statistics

STO 0 – 4 AJA

42%

Possession (%)

58%

1.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.13

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Ajax won 4–0 away at Telstar. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.13 to 1.13. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.13 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.14 units (Brier 0.199).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	2.38	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.84	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.00	—	47%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS No	2.66	—	35%	Cashed	+1.66	Cashed
Away Win	1.60	—	55%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Home Win	4.88	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.40	—	67%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.88	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.20	—	77%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	4.68	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.14u	−19% ROI

Telstar vs Ajax 0:4: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled