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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Telstar — Ajax

Predictions Telstar vs Ajax August 30, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Telstar
Telstar
Home · last 5 W L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 14:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Ajax
Ajax
W D Away · last 5
Referee D. Higler
Home Win · STO
24%
Best 4.88
Draw
21%
Best 4.68
Away Win · AJA
55%
Best 1.60
Value pick
Home Win
@ 4.88
Fair odds
4.26
book 4.88 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 23% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (55%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.88
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.68
Show model details
Implied probability 21.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 53%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 47%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 32.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
STO – AJA @ 4.88
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →