AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles 5:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 3.10 — +14.8% better than the market.

AZ Alkmaar enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a perfect recent run and a higher points per game than GO Ahead Eagles. The Eagles have shown resilience but face a tough task breaking down AZ's compact block at AFAS Stadion. Expect a lively encounter with a pressing edge favoring the hosts and a likely open game given the market's lean towards over 2.5 goals.

AZ's home form and attacking threat
GO Ahead's solid but less prolific offense
Potential for goals with both sides pushing forward

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 3.10 ✗ Lost

AI 37% Implied 32% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ALK 4-2-3-1 · EAG 4-2-3-1

ALK · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · EAG

9 Meerdink

Statistics

ALK 5 – 2 EAG

52%

Possession (%)

48%

2.39

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.82

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AZ Alkmaar beat GO Ahead Eagles 5–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.39 to 1.82. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.39 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.52 units (Brier 0.089).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.99	—	60%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.86	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.40	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.10	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	71%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.40	—	77%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Home Win	1.41	—	63%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Away Win	7.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.11	—	82%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Draw	5.36	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.88	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.52u	−32% ROI

AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles 5:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled