🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 77% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 71%, AZ Alkmaar to win 63%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
AZ Alkmaar enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a perfect recent run and a higher points per game than GO Ahead Eagles. The Eagles have shown resilience but face a tough task breaking down AZ's compact block at AFAS Stadion. Expect a lively encounter with a pressing edge favoring the hosts and a likely open game given the market's lean towards over 2.5 goals.
- AZ's home form and attacking threat
- GO Ahead's solid but less prolific offense
- Potential for goals with both sides pushing forward
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 63% | AZ Alkmaar win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 77% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 71% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 82% | 1X |
- 1X2 AZ Alkmaar win 63%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77%
- BTTS Yes 71%
- Double Chance 1X 82%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
AZ Alkmaar
W/D/L
3-2-0
Goals (for / against)
12 / 5
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
xG (for / against)
2.60 / 1.08
GO Ahead Eagles
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
11 / 10
Avg goals / match
4.2
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
5/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.30 / 2.45
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
AZ Alkmaar wins when scoring first
—
①
GO Ahead Eagles wins when scoring first
—
⚽
AZ Alkmaar BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
GO Ahead Eagles BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
GO Ahead Eagles Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
AZ Alkmaar comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
GO Ahead Eagles comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
AZ Alkmaar · last 3 at home
0–15
12%
16–30
25%
31–45
25%
46–60
12%
61–75
0%
76–90
25%
GO Ahead Eagles · last 4 away
0–15
14%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
14%
61–75
14%
76–90
57%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
