🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 65% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 64%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Excelsior hosts Sparta Rotterdam in a clash where the visitors show more consistent form and attacking threat. Sparta’s recent performances suggest a sharper edge in creating chances, while Excelsior’s home momentum is less convincing. The pace hints at an open game with goals likely, supported by both sides’ tendency to find the net.
- Sparta’s better recent form and higher scoring potential
- Excelsior’s home resilience could keep it tight early
- Expect a lively tempo favoring goal opportunities
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 38% | Sparta Rotterdam win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 64% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 65% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 63% | X2 |
- 1X2 Sparta Rotterdam win 38%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64%
- BTTS Yes 65%
- Double Chance X2 63%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Excelsior
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
12 / 7
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
xG (for / against)
1.75 / 1.39
Sparta Rotterdam
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
8 / 12
Avg goals / match
4.0
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.66 / 1.95
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Excelsior wins when scoring first
—
①
Sparta Rotterdam wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Excelsior BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Sparta Rotterdam BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Excelsior Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Sparta Rotterdam Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Excelsior comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Sparta Rotterdam comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Excelsior · last 4 at home
0–15
50%
16–30
25%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
25%
Sparta Rotterdam · last 4 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
20%
46–60
0%
61–75
40%
76–90
40%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
