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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Excelsior — Sparta Rotterdam

Predictions by Market: Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 14:30
2:1
Full-time
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
L D L L D Away · last 5
Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EXC
37%
Best 2.16
Draw
25%
Best 3.85
Away Win · SPA
38%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Away Win
@ 2.80
Fair odds
2.62
book 2.80 · +6.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 38% · EV +6.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 37.3%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
EXC – SPA @ 2.80
+6.9%
Edge
Forecast →