🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 65% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 61%, Groningen to win 60%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Groningen shows signs of home momentum with a stronger recent form and higher points per game, suggesting they hold a slight edge at Euroborg. Their attacking potential appears more promising compared to Fortuna Sittard’s defense, hinting at opportunities to break through. The match could see a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, supporting an open game with chances on both ends.
- Home side’s recent wins build confidence
- Attacking mismatch favors Groningen
- Potential for a goal-rich encounter
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 60% | Groningen win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 65% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 61% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 80% | 1X |
- 1X2 Groningen win 60%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65%
- BTTS Yes 61%
- Double Chance 1X 80%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Groningen
W/D/L
3-0-2
Goals (for / against)
9 / 10
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
xG (for / against)
1.44 / 2.03
Fortuna Sittard
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
8 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
0.82 / 2.82
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Groningen wins when scoring first
—
①
Fortuna Sittard wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Groningen BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Fortuna Sittard BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Groningen Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Fortuna Sittard Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Groningen comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Fortuna Sittard comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Groningen · last 4 at home
0–15
13%
16–30
38%
31–45
13%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
38%
Fortuna Sittard · last 4 away
0–15
17%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
17%
76–90
67%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
