P
Prognosist
P
Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Groningen — Fortuna Sittard

Predictions by Market: Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Groningen
Groningen
Home · last 5 L L D D W
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 18:00
2:3
Full-time
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
W W L W D Away · last 5
Euroborg · Groningen Referee M. Vos

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GRO
60%
Best 1.51
Draw
21%
Best 4.78
Away Win · SIT
20%
Best 6.25
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.70
Fair odds
2.48
book 2.70 · +8.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +8.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (80%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 19.7%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.89
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
GRO – SIT @ 2.70
+8.9%
Edge
Forecast →