Nacional vs Famalicao 0:4 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.24 — +5.5% better than the market.

Nacional hosts Famalicao in a Primeira Liga clash where both sides show similar recent form but with a slight edge to Famalicao’s steadier point accumulation. Nacional’s recent win after a string of losses hints at a possible home momentum shift, yet Famalicao’s compact defensive shape could stifle attacking chances. Expect a cautious pace with tactical discipline from both, making set-pieces and moments of pressing intensity key.

Home side seeks to build on recent confidence
Away team’s defensive resilience may limit goals
Midfield battle likely to dictate tempo and openings

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.24 ✗ Lost

AI 33% Implied 31% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

NAC 4-2-3-1 · FAM 4-2-3-1

NAC · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · FAM

9 Obando

Subs used · NAC

45'

Kokolo ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

45'

Gavriel ↑ ·

Min-kyu ↓

45'

Fernandes ↑ ·

Cardoso ↓

61'

Ruan ↑ ·

Djaló ↓

72'

Wesley ↑ ·

Cruz ↓

Subs used · FAM

73'

Meyer ↑ ·

Francisco ↓

73'

Santos ↑ ·

Dias ↓

80'

Subiela ↑ ·

Moura ↓

80'

Abubakar ↑ ·

Koutsias ↓

83'

Garcia ↑ ·

Pinheiro ↓

Statistics

NAC 0 – 4 FAM

55%

Possession (%)

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

20 · 0 – 4

⚽

Georgios Koutsias

Assist · Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura · 0–1

13'

⚽

Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura

0–2

28'

▮

Víctor Rofino Gordo

Yellow Card

40'

⚽

Georgios Koutsias

Assist · Mathias De Amorim · 0–3

Williams Kokolo ↓ · Jose Gomes ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

45'

Stavros Gavriel ↓ · Song Min-kyu ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

45'

Ivanildo Fernandes ↓ · José Vitor Lima Cardoso ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

45'

Half-time · 0 – 3

Pablo Ruan ↓ · Matchoi Djaló ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

61'

63'

▮

Pedro Bondo Francisco

Yellow Card

67'

⚽

Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura

Assist · Mathias De Amorim · 0–4

Williams Kokolo

Yellow Card

▮

71'

Wesley ↓ · Daniel de la Cruz ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

72'

73'

⇄

Leny Remo Meyer ↓ · Pedro Bondo Francisco ↑

Substitution 1

73'

⇄

Pedro Santos ↓ · Gil Dias ↑

Substitution 2

Matheus dos Santos Dias

Yellow Card

▮

74'

75'

▮

Finn van Breemen

Yellow Card

Matheus dos Santos Dias

Red Card

▮

77'

80'

⇄

Óscar Aranda Subiela ↓ · Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

Umar Abubakar ↓ · Georgios Koutsias ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

Gustavo Garcia ↓ · Rodrigo Pinheiro ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

Famalicao won 4–0 away at Nacional. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Georgios Koutsias (7'), Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura (13'), Georgios Koutsias (40'), Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura (67'). Matheus dos Santos Dias was sent off in the 77' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 2 landed and 3 missed, for a net -1.45 units (Brier 0.181).

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 2 W · 3 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.05	2.05	44%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.75	2.58	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.50	1.51	44%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Home Win	3.24	3.70	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.40	3.39	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	2 W · 3 L	−1.45u	−29% ROI

Nacional vs Famalicao 0:4: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled