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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › FC Porto — Benfica

FC Porto vs Benfica 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 19:30
3:1
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W W W L Away · last 5
Estádio do Dragão · Porto Referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 67% · book 1.61 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.84 ✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 44% · book 2.67 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.61 — +8.2% better than the market.

FC Porto and Benfica arrive in peak form, both unbeaten in their last five matches, setting the stage for a high-stakes clash. Porto holds a slight edge in overall quality and defensive solidity, while Benfica's sharper attack promises an engaging tactical battle. Expect a lively tempo with both sides pushing forward, supported by a strong likelihood of goals given their offensive strengths and recent head-to-head encounters.

  • Porto's home momentum and defensive resilience
  • Benfica's attacking threat and pressing intensity
  • Balanced form and tactical matchup favoring open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.61 ✓ Cashed
AI 67% Implied 62% +0.61u
+61%
ROI on stake

Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · BEN 4-2-3-1
POR · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BEN 99 Costa 20 Baio 5 Bednarek 4 Kiwior 52 Fernandes 8 Froholdt ⚽ 13 Rosario 10 Veiga ⚽ 7 William 19 Silva 11 Aquino 24 Soares 6 Bah ⚽ 44 Araújo 2 Lenglet 26 Dahl 8 Aursnes 36 Palhinha 27 Rafa 10 Sudakov 25 Prestianni 14 Pavlidis
Subs used · POR
38' In-Beom ↑ · Veiga ↓
69' Moura ↑ · Fernandes ↓
69' Sainz ↑ · Gomes ↓
85' Pietuszewski ↑ · Cossa ↓
85' Aghehowa ↑ · Silva ↓
Subs used · BEN
38' Circati ↑ · Sudakov ↓
74' Barreiro ↑ · Aursnes ↓
74' Lukebakio ↑ · Silva ↓
74' Schjelderup ↑ · Prestianni ↓
85' Karouani ↑ · Dahl ↓

Statistics

POR 3 – 1 BEN
45%
Possession (%)
55%
20
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
5
12
Shots Inside Box
8
3
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
0
17
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

22 · 3 – 1
Gabri Veiga
Yellow Card
▮
5'
25'
▮
Clément Lenglet
Yellow Card
Gabri Veiga
Assist · Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa · 1–0
⚽
31'
34'
▮
Gianluca Prestianni
Yellow Card
35'
▮
Clément Lenglet
Red Card
Hwang In-Beom ↓ · Gabri Veiga ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
38'
38'
⇄
Alessandro Circati ↓ · Heorhii Sudakov ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 1 – 0
51'
⚽
Alexander Bah
Assist · Gianluca Prestianni · 1–1
Victor Froholdt
Assist · André Silva · 2–1
⚽
54'
Hwang In-Beom
Assist · André Silva · 3–1
⚽
60'
Francisco Moura ↓ · Martim Fernandes ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
69'
Borja Sainz ↓ · William Gomes ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
69'
74'
⇄
Leandro Barreiro ↓ · Fredrik Aursnes ↑
Substitution 2
74'
⇄
Dodi Lukebakio ↓ · Rafa Silva ↑
Substitution 3
74'
⇄
Andreas Schjelderup ↓ · Gianluca Prestianni ↑
Substitution 4
Hwang In-Beom
Yellow Card
▮
80'
Oskar Pietuszewski ↓ · Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
Samuel Aghehowa ↓ · André Silva ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
Souffian El Karouani ↓ · Samuel Dahl ↑
Substitution 5
Oskar Pietuszewski
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
90+3'
▮
Tomás Araújo
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
Alexander Bah
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

FC Porto beat Benfica 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 12, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Gabri Veiga (31'), Alexander Bah (51'), Victor Froholdt (54'), Hwang In-Beom (60'). Clément Lenglet was sent off in the 35' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.04 units (Brier 0.145).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.61 1.64 67% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.84 1.89 63% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Home Win 2.67 2.90 44% Cashed +1.67 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.01 2.12 44% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Away Win 2.50 2.43 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 1.90 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.22 2.13 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.87 1.74 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.04 3.10 43% Cashed +2.04 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.53 1.54 70% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.45 1.38 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 1.25 84% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.40 3.30 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 1.33 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 3.75 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.80 10.99 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.04u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
POR – BEN @ 1.61
+8.2%
Edge
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