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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › FC Porto — Benfica

Predictions by Market: FC Porto vs Benfica

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 19:30
3:1
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W W W L Away · last 5
Estádio do Dragão · Porto Referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · POR
44%
Best 3.02
Draw
26%
Best 3.38
Away Win · BEN
30%
Best 2.48
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.61
Fair odds
1.49
book 1.61 · +8.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 67% · EV +8.2%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.1%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 57%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.3%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 11.80
Show model details
Implied probability 8.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.1%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
POR – BEN @ 1.61
+8.2%
Edge
Forecast →