Arouca vs Santa Clara 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.25 — +14.0% better than the market.

Arouca shows strong home momentum with recent wins and a solid points per game edge over Santa Clara. The home side's attacking potential appears well-matched against Santa Clara's defense, suggesting chances on both ends. Recent head-to-heads hint at a competitive encounter with goals likely, supported by a moderately high over 2.5 goals probability and balanced pace expectations.

Home form and scoring threat
Balanced tactical matchup
Moderate goal environment

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.25 ✓ Cashed

AI 51% Implied 44% +1.25u

+125%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ARO 4-2-3-1 · SAN 4-3-3

ARO · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · SAN

17 Barbero ⚽

Subs used · ARO

23'

Flores ↑ ·

Gozálbez ↓

68'

Santos ↑ ·

Ee ↓

68'

Rukavina ↑ ·

Djouahra ↓

81'

Mansilla ↑ ·

Trezza ↓

81'

Mayulu ↑ ·

Lebedenko ↓

Subs used · SAN

62'

Borges ↑ ·

Tavares ↓

73'

Silva ↑ ·

Ribeiro ↓

73'

Torrão ↑ ·

Santos ↓

73'

Oliveira ↑ ·

Paciência ↓

82'

Castro ↑ ·

lopes ↓

Statistics

ARO 1 – 2 SAN

64%

Possession (%)

36%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

22 · 1 – 2

22'

⚽

Gonçalo Paciência

Assist · José Tavares · 0–1

Mateo Flores ↓ · Pablo Gozálbez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

23'

33'

▮

Emanuel Moreira

Yellow Card

36'

⚽

José Tavares

Assist · Pedro Pacheco · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

Iván Barbero

Assist · Näis Djouahra · 1–2

⚽

46'

Näis Djouahra

Yellow Card

▮

54'

62'

⇄

Dani Borges ↓ · José Tavares ↑

Substitution 1

Vasco César Freire de Seabra

Yellow Card

▮

64'

65'

▮

Tiago Ribeiro

Yellow Card

Espen van Ee

Yellow Card

▮

65'

Pedro Santos ↓ · Espen van Ee ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

Gabrijel Rukavina ↓ · Näis Djouahra ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

72'

▮

Pedro Ferreira

Yellow Card

73'

⇄

Henrique Silva ↓ · Tiago Ribeiro ↑

Substitution 2

73'

⇄

Welinton Torrão ↓ · Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⇄

Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira ↓ · Gonçalo Paciência ↑

Substitution 4

Brian Mansilla ↓ · Alfonso Trezza ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

Fally Mayulu ↓ · Orest Lebedenko ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

82'

⇄

Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro ↓ · Vinicius lopes ↑

Substitution 5

84'

▮

Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro

Yellow Card

85'

▮

Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro

Red Card

Gabrijel Rukavina

Yellow Card

▮

87'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Santa Clara won 2–1 away at Arouca. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Gonçalo Paciência (22'), José Tavares (36'), Iván Barbero (46'). Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro was sent off in the 85' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.16 units (Brier 0.182).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.25	2.25	51%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	1.86	55%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Home Win	2.66	2.62	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.67	2.89	33%	Cashed	+1.67	Cashed
BTTS No	1.81	1.88	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.62	1.65	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.92	1.83	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.74	2.88	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.95	2.03	33%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	1.40	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	1.47	61%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.08	4.00	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.15	3.08	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	1.36	74%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	1.06	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.19	1.22	70%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.90	8.00	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.16u	−19% ROI

Arouca vs Santa Clara 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled