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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Arouca — Santa Clara

Predictions by Market: Arouca vs Santa Clara

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 L W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 17:00
1:2
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W W D W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARO
39%
Best 2.69
Draw
28%
Best 3.10
Away Win · SAN
33%
Best 3.00
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.25
Fair odds
1.97
book 2.25 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 51% · EV +14.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.9%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.1%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.9%
Odds 4.08
Show model details
Implied probability 24.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.3%
Odds 7.90
Show model details
Implied probability 12.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.2%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.3%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
ARO – SAN @ 2.25
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →