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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Benfica — GIL Vicente

Benfica vs GIL Vicente 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 17:00
3:1
Full-time
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
D L L D W Away · last 5
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 44% · book 2.25 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 41% · book 2.37 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 56% · book 1.65 ✗
Total goals
4
3 · 1
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.50 — +14.6% better than the market.

Benfica enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and higher points per game. Their attacking threat is expected to challenge GIL Vicente's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. The visitors have had mixed form but could struggle to contain Benfica's pressing edge and set-piece threat. The pace of the game may lean towards an open encounter, with both sides likely to seek goals early.

  • Benfica's home confidence and attacking firepower
  • GIL Vicente's defensive lapses against high-quality offense
  • Potential for a lively, goal-rich tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 7.50 ✗ Lost
AI 15% Implied 13% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · VIC 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BEN
58' Aursnes ↑ · Barreiro ↓
58' Palhinha ↑ · Barrenechea ↓
72' Echeverri ↑ · Schjelderup ↓
72' Lukebakio ↑ · Silva ↓
81' Durán ↑ · Banjaqui ↓
Subs used · VIC
56' González ↑ · Moreira ↓
56' Kaba ↑ · Hernandez ↓
81' Silva ↑ · Moreira ↓
81' Toure ↑ · Martins ↓
88' Espigares ↑ · Gilbert ↓

Statistics

BEN 3 – 1 VIC
64%
Possession (%)
36%
17
Total Shots
4
5
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
2
12
Shots Inside Box
3
14
Corner Kicks
0
11
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

19 · 3 – 1
7'
⚽
Hector Hernandez
Assist · Gil Pinto Martins · 0–1
Enzo Barrenechea
Yellow Card
▮
12'
26'
▮
Hector Hernandez
Yellow Card
Vangelis Pavlidis
1–1
⚽
29'
Half-time · 1 – 1
56'
⇄
Santiago García González ↓ · Agustín Moreira ↑
Substitution 1
56'
⇄
Mohamed Kaba ↓ · Hector Hernandez ↑
Substitution 2
Fredrik Aursnes ↓ · Leandro Barreiro ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
João Palhinha ↓ · Enzo Barrenechea ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
João Palhinha
Yellow Card
▮
63'
70'
▮
Lucão
Yellow Card
Claudio Echeverri ↓ · Andreas Schjelderup ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
Dodi Lukebakio ↓ · Rafa Silva ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
81'
⇄
José Silva ↓ · David Moreira ↑
Substitution 3
81'
⇄
Tidjany Chabrol Toure ↓ · Gil Pinto Martins ↑
Substitution 4
Jhon Durán ↓ · Daniel Banjaqui ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
Vangelis Pavlidis (P)
Penalty · 2–1
⚽
87'
88'
⇄
Antonio Espigares ↓ · Marvin Elimbi Gilbert ↑
Substitution 5
Gianluca Prestianni
Assist · Claudio Echeverri · 3–1
⚽
90+3'
90+5'
▮
Ricardo Esgaio
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Benfica beat GIL Vicente 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 4, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 14 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Hector Hernandez (7'), Vangelis Pavlidis (29'), Vangelis Pavlidis (87'), Gianluca Prestianni (90+3').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.57 units (Brier 0.111).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.25 2.10 44% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.37 2.31 41% Cashed +1.37 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.65 1.75 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.55 2.70 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 18.00 20.41 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 15.50 14.49 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 5.50 5.99 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.50 9.01 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.46 1.40 65% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.02 1.01 89% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
BTTS No 1.53 1.56 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.15 1.12 74% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.03 1.03 74% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.13 1.10 84% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.13 5.99 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.25 18.87 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.57u −33% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
BEN – VIC @ 7.50
+14.6%
Edge
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