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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Benfica — GIL Vicente

Predictions by Market: Benfica vs GIL Vicente

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 17:00
3:1
Full-time
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
D L L D W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BEN
74%
Best 1.14
Draw
15%
Best 10.50
Away Win · VIC
11%
Best 23.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.50
Fair odds
6.54
book 7.50 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +14.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (74%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 11%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 15.3%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87.3%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.1%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.5%
Odds 17.25
Show model details
Implied probability 5.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 26.3%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BEN – VIC @ 7.50
+14.6%
Edge
Forecast →