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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Guimaraes — Casa Pia

Guimaraes vs Casa Pia 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 17:00
0:0
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L D L W L Away · last 5
Referee G. Correia
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 1.57 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 21% · book 5.25 ✗
Hit
Draw
Draw
AI 25% · book 3.84 ✓
Total goals
0
0 · 0
Possession
74% – 26%
AI accuracy
1 / 5
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 5.25 — +12.0% better than the market.

Guimaraes hold a slight edge with better recent form and higher expected goals, suggesting home momentum could be key. Casa Pia's struggles in attack and defense hint at a compact Guimaraes block limiting chances. The match may unfold at a moderate pace, favoring Guimaraes' ability to control the game and press effectively.

  • Home side's recent wins boost confidence
  • Casa Pia's defensive frailty under pressure
  • Moderate tempo suits Guimaraes' tactical setup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 5.25 ✗ Lost
AI 21% Implied 19% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GUI 4-2-3-1 · CAS 4-2-3-1
GUI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · CAS 48 Zych 23 Strata 5 Sidibé 28 Balieiro 13 Mendes 16 Beni 44 Doucet 11 Gustavo 20 Samu 17 Nogueira 24 Ndoye 31 Gomes 18 Geraldes 3 Kaly 43 Sousa 75 Rosas 16 Silvi 80 Ofori 19 Prieto 70 Rêgo 77 Pauwels 20 Jatta
Subs used · GUI
63' Jakupović ↑ · Ndoye ↓
70' Camara ↑ · Nogueira ↓
71' Rivas ↑ · Sidibé ↓
87' Ouotro ↑ · Doucet ↓
87' Nogueira ↑ · Silva ↓
Subs used · CAS
29' Mandic ↑ · Gomes ↓
45' Pedro ↑ · Prieto ↓
57' Boukammiri ↑ · Pauwels ↓
57' Araújo ↑ · Jatta ↓
70' Goulart ↑ · Bandeira ↓

Statistics

GUI 0 – 0 CAS
74%
Possession (%)
26%
29
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
3
10
Shots off Target
4
17
Shots Inside Box
4
17
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

15 · 0 – 0
29'
⇄
Ivan Mandic ↓ · André Gomes ↑
Substitution 1
45'
⇄
João Pedro ↓ · Kevin Prieto ↑
Substitution 2
Half-time · 0 – 0
57'
⇄
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri ↓ · Benjamin Pauwels ↑
Substitution 3
57'
⇄
Henrique Araújo ↓ · Alassana Jatta ↑
Substitution 4
Gustavo Silva
Yellow Card
▮
62'
62'
▮
Ivan Mandic
Yellow Card
Arnel Jakupović ↓ · Alioune Ndoye ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido
Yellow Card
▮
66'
70'
⇄
João Goulart ↓ · Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira ↑
Substitution 5
Oumar Camara ↓ · Miguel Nogueira ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
Óscar Rivas ↓ · Ahmed Sidibé ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
72'
▮
João Pedro
Yellow Card
Balieiro Thiago
Yellow Card
▮
86'
Patrick Ouotro ↓ · Lohann Doucet ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
Gonçalo Nogueira ↓ · Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Guimaraes and Casa Pia drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 74% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 29 shots to 7, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 17 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 1 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.16 units (Brier 0.260).

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 1 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.57 1.47 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.25 6.94 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.84 4.05 25% Cashed +2.84 Cashed
AH Away 0 5.48 5.46 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.15 1.12 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each — — — 1 W · 4 L −1.16u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
GUI – CAS @ 5.25
+12.0%
Edge
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