🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 59% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Arouca shows strong home momentum with recent wins boosting confidence, while Maritimo has been inconsistent despite some positive results. The home side's sharper form and slightly better recent points per game suggest they hold a pressing edge. Expect a lively encounter with both teams likely to find chances, supported by a moderately high goal environment hinted by odds.
- Arouca's home rhythm and form advantage
- Maritimo's resilience but patchy away displays
- Potential for goals on both ends in an open tempo
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 44% | Arouca win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 55% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 59% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 71% | 1X |
- 1X2 Arouca win 44%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
- BTTS Yes 59%
- Double Chance 1X 71%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 2.91 ↑ 3.23 (+11%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Arouca
W/D/L
4-0-1
Goals (for / against)
11 / 4
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.22 / 1.39
Maritimo
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
8 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.38 / 1.01
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Arouca wins when scoring first
83%
①
Maritimo wins when scoring first
75%
⚽
Arouca BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Maritimo BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Arouca Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Maritimo Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Arouca comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Maritimo comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Arouca · last 10 at home
0–15
23%
16–30
9%
31–45
14%
46–60
23%
61–75
14%
76–90
18%
Maritimo · last 10 away
0–15
22%
16–30
33%
31–45
11%
46–60
0%
61–75
11%
76–90
22%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
