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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Arouca — Maritimo

Predictions by Market: Arouca vs Maritimo

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 L W D L D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 14:30
2:1
Full-time
Maritimo
Maritimo
L L L D L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Aruca Referee G. Correia

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARO
44%
Best 2.22
Draw
27%
Best 3.37
Away Win · MAR
29%
Best 3.54
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.85
Fair odds
1.69
book 1.85 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 59% · EV +9.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.6%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.9%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.7%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.5%
Odds 2.93
Show model details
Implied probability 34.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.4%
Odds 7.90
Show model details
Implied probability 12.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.8%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.6%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 76.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
ARO – MAR @ 1.85
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →