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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Moreirense — Benfica

Moreirense vs Benfica 0:4: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Wed 09 Sep · 19:45
0:4
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W W W L Away · last 5
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 1.70 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.64 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 37% · book 2.63 ✗
Total goals
4
0 · 4
Possession
26% – 74%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.25 — +11.3% better than the market.

Benfica enters this clash with a clear form edge, riding a strong winning streak compared to Moreirense's mixed recent results. The away side's attacking threat is evident, likely to test Moreirense's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. Despite Moreirense's home momentum, Benfica's sharper offensive play and consistent form suggest they hold the upper hand.

  • Benfica's pressing and goal threat outmatch Moreirense's defense
  • Moreirense's home resilience could limit the scoreline
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 7.25 ✗ Lost
AI 15% Implied 14% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MOR 4-2-3-1 · BEN 4-2-3-1
Subs used · MOR
56' Maranhão ↑ · Parsemain ↓
56' Andrade ↑ · Araújo ↓
66' Santos ↑ · Pinto ↓
66' Bondoso ↑ · John ↓
79' Monteiro ↑ · Gonzaga ↓
Subs used · BEN
66' Durán ↑ · Pavlidis ↓
66' Aursnes ↑ · Barreiro ↓
66' Lukebakio ↑ · Prestianni ↓
78' Karouani ↑ · Dahl ↓
86' Sudakov ↑ · Silva ↓

Statistics

MOR 0 – 4 BEN
26%
Possession (%)
74%
8
Total Shots
21
1
Shots on Target
9
6
Shots off Target
9
5
Shots Inside Box
16
3
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
3
17
Fouls
10
4
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

20 · 0 – 4
Gilberto Batista
Yellow Card
▮
42'
Alexandre Parsemain
Yellow Card
▮
45+3'
45+4'
⚽
Vangelis Pavlidis (P)
Penalty · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Landerson Costa Araújo
Yellow Card
▮
52'
55'
⚽
Andreas Schjelderup
Assist · Gianluca Prestianni · 0–2
Yan Maranhão ↓ · Alexandre Parsemain ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
56'
Tiago Andrade ↓ · Landerson Costa Araújo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
56'
59'
⚽
Gianluca Prestianni
Assist · Andreas Schjelderup · 0–3
Leandro Santos ↓ · Dinis Pinto ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
66'
Kiko Bondoso ↓ · Nile John ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
66'
66'
⇄
Jhon Durán ↓ · Vangelis Pavlidis ↑
Substitution 1
66'
⇄
Fredrik Aursnes ↓ · Leandro Barreiro ↑
Substitution 2
66'
⇄
Dodi Lukebakio ↓ · Gianluca Prestianni ↑
Substitution 3
72'
⚽
Fredrik Aursnes
Assist · Andreas Schjelderup · 0–4
75'
▮
João Palhinha
Yellow Card
78'
⇄
Souffian El Karouani ↓ · Samuel Dahl ↑
Substitution 4
Kevyn Monteiro ↓ · Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
86'
⇄
Heorhii Sudakov ↓ · Rafa Silva ↑
Substitution 5
Mateja Stjepanović
Yellow Card
▮
87'
90+1'
▮
Jhon Durán
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

Benfica won 4–0 away at Moreirense. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 74% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 8, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Vangelis Pavlidis (45+4'), Andreas Schjelderup (55'), Gianluca Prestianni (59'), Fredrik Aursnes (72').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.43 units (Brier 0.097).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.70 1.73 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.64 1.62 61% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.63 2.88 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.15 2.10 41% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.20 2.21 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 16.50 14.71 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 5.23 5.49 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 11.00 12.05 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.25 8.47 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.44 1.40 63% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.02 1.02 87% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Away Win 1.16 1.15 72% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.03 1.04 72% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 95% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.53 5.99 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.10 83% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.25 22.22 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.43u −38% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
MOR – BEN @ 7.25
+11.3%
Edge
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