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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lens — Lyon

Predictions by Market: Lens vs Lyon

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 L L D L W
Kick-off
Fri 09 Oct · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee Jeremy Stinat

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEN
32%
Best 2.66
Draw
25%
Best 3.72
Away Win · LYO
40%
Best 2.69
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.42
Fair odds
2.23
book 2.42 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +8.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (55%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 39.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.85
Show model details
Implied probability 20.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 15.75
Show model details
Implied probability 6.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47.5%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 31.9%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
LEN – LYO @ 2.42
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →