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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Monaco — Toulouse

Predictions by Market: Monaco vs Toulouse

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 W W D W D
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 18:45
2:2
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
D L D W D Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Ruddy Buquet

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MON
64%
Best 1.67
Draw
23%
Best 4.41
Away Win · TOU
16%
Best 5.25
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.40
Fair odds
3.90
book 4.40 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +12.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.3%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 16.1%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.4%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.7%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 13%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MON – TOU @ 4.40
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →