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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Marseille — Paris Saint Germain

Predictions by Market: Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
D L W W W Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Francois Letexier

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MAR
24%
Best 6.76
Draw
21%
Best 5.28
Away Win · PSG
66%
Best 1.47
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.86
Fair odds
1.77
book 1.86 · +5.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +5.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 24%
Odds 5.38
Show model details
Implied probability 18.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.9%
Odds 4.72
Show model details
Implied probability 21.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.4%
Odds 21.50
Show model details
Implied probability 4.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 92.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 16.1%
Odds 5.80
Show model details
Implied probability 17.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.3%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
MAR – PSG @ 1.86
+5.3%
Edge
Forecast →