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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Auxerre — Stade Brestois 29

Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 2:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 L L L W W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
D W L L W Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps · Auxerre Referee Guillaume Paradis
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.91 ✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 36% · book 2.69 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.68 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

Auxerre hosts Stade Brestois 29 in a Ligue 1 clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have shown more resilience with draws and a better points per game in their last five. Auxerre’s home momentum is tempered by their recent struggles, but the historical edge and a balanced pace hint at a competitive encounter.

  • Auxerre’s home advantage is moderate, with a compact defensive setup.
  • Brest’s ability to grind out results suggests a pressing edge.
  • Odds imply a balanced goal environment, favoring a tight but open game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

AUX 3-4-3 · BRE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · AUX
45' Faivre ↑ · Lascary ↓
45' Ahamada ↑ · Piedfort ↓
86' Mandengue ↑ · Oppegard ↓
87' Ekwah ↑ · Namaso ↓
Subs used · BRE
68' Baldé ↑ · Versini ↓
78' Tousart ↑ · Lloris ↓
78' N´Guessan ↑ · Mboup ↓
86' Nonge ↑ · Chotard ↓
86' Lainé ↑ · Ajorque ↓

Statistics

AUX 2 – 1 BRE
52%
Possession (%)
48%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
6
3
Shots Inside Box
3
8
Corner Kicks
3
4
Offsides
1
19
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 2 – 1
23'
⚽
Pathé Mboup
Assist · Joris Chotard · 0–1
Romain Faivre ↓ · Remy Labeau Lascary ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
Naouirou Ahamada ↓ · Arthur Piedfort ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
45'
Half-time · 0 – 1
Cameron Archer
Assist · Danny Namaso · 1–1
⚽
46'
68'
⇄
Mama Baldé ↓ · Giovani Versini ↑
Substitution 1
Christ Makosso
Yellow Card
▮
73'
78'
⇄
Lucas Tousart ↓ · Gautier Lloris ↑
Substitution 2
78'
⇄
Djylian N´Guessan ↓ · Pathé Mboup ↑
Substitution 3
82'
▮
Kenny Lala
Yellow Card
Raphaël Le Guen
Own goal · 2–1
⚽
83'
86'
⇄
Joseph Nonge ↓ · Joris Chotard ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
Mathis Lainé ↓ · Ludovic Ajorque ↑
Substitution 5
Rayan Mandengue ↓ · Fredrik Oppegard ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
86'
Pierre Ekwah ↓ · Danny Namaso ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Auxerre beat Stade Brestois 29 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3.

On the scoresheet: Pathé Mboup (23'), Cameron Archer (46'), Raphaël Le Guen (83').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.60 units (Brier 0.198).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.91 1.80 52% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Home Win 2.69 3.10 36% Cashed +1.69 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.68 1.59 56% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Away Win 2.48 2.27 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.09 2.26 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 2.05 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.04 2.23 36% Cashed +1.04 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.70 1.70 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.49 1.58 62% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.42 1.36 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.80 2.88 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.27 1.22 76% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.32 1.40 70% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Draw 3.45 3.48 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.58 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −2.60u −17% ROI