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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Toulouse — Le Havre

Predictions by Market: Toulouse vs Le Havre

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 18:45
3:2
Full-time
Le Havre
Le Havre
D L D L L Away · last 5
Stadium Municipal · Toulouse Referee Hakim Ben el Hadj

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TOU
48%
Best 1.75
Draw
26%
Best 4.16
Away Win · HAV
26%
Best 4.93
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.35
Fair odds
3.81
book 4.35 · +14.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +14.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (48%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 26.3%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.7%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 53.3%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
TOU – HAV @ 4.35
+14.2%
Edge
Forecast →