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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Monaco — Lens

Predictions by Market: Monaco vs Lens

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 W W D W D
Kick-off
Fri 18 Sep · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Lens
Lens
L L D L W Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Clement Turpin

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MON
47%
Best 2.05
Draw
25%
Best 3.78
Away Win · LEN
28%
Best 3.80
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.62
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.62 · +0.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 62% · EV +0.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 47.3%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 51.3%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 29%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.3%
Odds 4.88
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.8%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 32.4%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.1%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47.3%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
MON – LEN @ 1.62
+0.6%
Edge
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