Monaco vs Lens 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.62 — +0.6% better than the market.

Monaco hosts Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where home momentum and recent form favor the hosts. Monaco's strong run with three wins and a draw contrasts Lens' struggles, showing a clear form edge. The match hints at a lively pace given the high over 2.5 goals odds, suggesting attacking intent from both sides.

Monaco's home comfort and recent consistency provide a pressing edge.
Lens' defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by Monaco's sharper attack.
Expect an open game with chances on both ends, aligning with the over 2.5 goals market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.62 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 62% +0.62u

+62%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MON 3-4-2-1 · LEN 4-2-3-1

MON · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · LEN

29 Brunner ⚽

Subs used · MON

62'

Detourbet ↑ ·

Diop ↓

76'

Balogun ↑ ·

Abline ↓

76'

Cabral ↑ ·

Zakaria ↓

90+2'

Salisu ↑ ·

Brunner ↓

Subs used · LEN

45'

Gradit ↑ ·

Todibo ↓

58'

Hazard ↑ ·

Mesloub ↓

58'

Édouard ↑ ·

Sima ↓

69'

Skóraś ↑ ·

Kadile ↓

72'

Bulatović ↑ ·

Haidara ↓

Statistics

MON 2 – 1 LEN

52%

Possession (%)

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 2 – 1

Paris Brunner

Assist · Matthis Abline · 1–0

⚽

32'

45'

⇄

Jonathan Gradit ↓ · Jean-Clair Todibo ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 1 – 0

53'

▮

Florian Thauvin

Yellow Card

57'

⚽

Matthieu Udol

Assist · Florian Thauvin · 1–1

58'

⇄

Thorgan Hazard ↓ · Mezian Soares Mesloub ↑

Substitution 2

58'

⇄

Odsonne Édouard ↓ · Abdallah Sima ↑

Substitution 3

Mathys Detourbet ↓ · Edan Diop ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

69'

⇄

Michał Skóraś ↓ · Junior Kadile ↑

Substitution 4

Lamine Camara

Yellow Card

▮

71'

72'

⇄

Andrija Bulatović ↓ · Amadou Haidara ↑

Substitution 5

Folarin Balogun ↓ · Matthis Abline ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

Pape Cabral ↓ · Denis Zakaria ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

Jonathan Gradit

Own goal · 2–1

⚽

84'

Mohammed Salisu ↓ · Paris Brunner ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+2'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Monaco beat Lens 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: Paris Brunner (32'), Matthieu Udol (57'), Jonathan Gradit (84').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.36 units (Brier 0.123).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.32	2.54	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.77	1.74	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.03	2.02	47%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
BTTS No	2.64	2.42	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.53	1.53	60%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.56	2.72	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.50	2.33	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.54	1.49	47%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.62	1.62	62%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.31	1.30	64%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.44	1.54	68%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Away Win	3.40	3.55	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	1.17	87%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.01	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.65	3.65	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.88	4.50	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	14.93	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.36u	−32% ROI

Monaco vs Lens 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled