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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lyon — Rennes

Lyon vs Rennes 4:0: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 18:45
4:0
Full-time
Rennes
Rennes
D W W W L Away · last 5
Groupama Stadium · Saint-Denis Referee Mathieu Vernice
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.69 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.60 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 38% · book 2.61 ✓
Total goals
4
4 · 0
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.69 — +4.1% better than the market.

Lyon hosts Rennes in a Ligue 1 clash where home momentum meets away resilience. Lyon’s steady form and slightly better points per game suggest a compact block and pressing edge at home. Rennes, on a winning streak, bring attacking confidence that could challenge Lyon’s defense, hinting at a tactical battle with chances on both ends.

  • Lyon’s home steadiness vs Rennes’ away momentum
  • Balanced attacking and defensive matchup
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a controlled game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.69 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 59% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LYO 4-2-3-1 · REN 4-1-4-1
LYO · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · REN 1 Greif 13 Athekame ⚽ 20 Bacher 19 Niakhaté 16 Abner 2 Bidstrup 23 Morton 7 Nuamah ⚽ 8 Tolisso ⚽ 10 Šulc 17 Openda 30 Samba 95 Frankowski 48 Ait Boudlal 4 Cresswell 26 Merlin 21 Rongier 12 Mayenda 45 Camara 28 Thomasson 70 Nordin 22 Dia
Subs used · LYO
64' Merah ↑ · Šulc ↓
73' Boudache ↑ · Nuamah ↓
79' Tessmann ↑ · Bidstrup ↓
79' Nartey ↑ · Morton ↓
79' Nakamura ↑ · Openda ↓
Subs used · REN
61' Lepaul ↑ · Dia ↓
61' Al-Tamari ↑ · Nordin ↓
62' Blas ↑ · Mayenda ↓
73' Nagida ↑ · Merlin ↓
73' Reynolds ↑ · Frankowski ↓

Statistics

LYO 4 – 0 REN
45%
Possession (%)
55%
15
Total Shots
13
9
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
8
10
Shots Inside Box
9
3
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

20 · 4 – 0
Moussa Niakhaté
Yellow Card
▮
2'
Ernest Nuamah
Assist · Corentin Tolisso · 1–0
⚽
7'
16'
▮
Quentin Merlin
Yellow Card
Ernest Nuamah
Assist · Pavel Šulc · 2–0
⚽
30'
Half-time · 2 – 0
Zachary Athekame
3–0
⚽
48'
Pavel Šulc
Yellow Card
▮
60'
61'
⇄
Esteban Lepaul ↓ · Boulaye Dia ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
Mousa Al-Tamari ↓ · Arnaud Nordin ↑
Substitution 2
62'
⇄
Ludovic Blas ↓ · Eliezer Mayenda ↑
Substitution 3
Khalis Merah ↓ · Pavel Šulc ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
Kail Boudache ↓ · Ernest Nuamah ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
73'
⇄
Mahamadou Nagida ↓ · Quentin Merlin ↑
Substitution 4
73'
⇄
Bryan Reynolds ↓ · Przemysław Frankowski ↑
Substitution 5
Corentin Tolisso
Assist · Zachary Athekame · 4–0
⚽
76'
Tanner Tessmann ↓ · Mads Bidstrup ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
79'
Noah Teye Nartey ↓ · Tyler Morton ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
Keito Nakamura ↓ · Loïs Openda ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
81'
▮
Valentin Rongier
Yellow Card
Zachary Athekame
Yellow Card
▮
86'
Noah Teye Nartey
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

Lyon beat Rennes 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Ernest Nuamah (7'), Ernest Nuamah (30'), Zachary Athekame (48'), Corentin Tolisso (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.48 units (Brier 0.188).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.69 1.62 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.60 2.45 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.61 2.61 38% Cashed +1.61 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.77 1.69 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.08 2.15 45% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.27 2.38 38% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.40 2.35 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.62 1.63 45% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Away Win 3.20 3.12 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.33 1.36 69% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 1.44 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.47 1.53 60% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.25 5.00 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.00 14.93 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.03 95% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 3.83 3.75 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.12 1.14 81% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.48u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
LYO – REN @ 1.69
+4.1%
Edge
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