P
Prognosist
P
Home › France › Ligue 1 › Le Mans — Lens

Predictions by Market: Le Mans vs Lens

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Le Mans
Le Mans
Home · last 5 L D D W L
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 15:15
2:2
Full-time
Lens
Lens
L L D L W Away · last 5
MMArena · Le Mans Referee Hakim Ben el Hadj

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LE-
22%
Best 5.07
Draw
23%
Best 4.36
Away Win · LEN
55%
Best 1.70
Value pick
Home Win
@ 5.25
Fair odds
4.60
book 5.25 · +14.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 22% · EV +14.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (55%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 21.8%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.59
Show model details
Implied probability 38.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.2%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.6%
Odds 4.29
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.5%
Odds 14.25
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 21.8%
Odds 3.87
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
LE- – LEN @ 5.25
+14.2%
Edge
Forecast →